Terror & Anarchy Threat Force West to Embrace Unsavoury Allies

• Editorial

Terror & Anarchy Threat Force West to Embrace Unsavoury Allies
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During his second State of the Nation Address, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte promised to continue his ‘unrelenting and unremitting’ campaign against illegal drugs, which has reportedly claimed the lives of thousands of suspected drug dealers and users. True to form, he also lashed out at critics, particularly those in the European Union (EU) and the United States, for questioning the wisdom of his signature policy.

Human rights groups around the world have condemned Duterte’s controversial war on drugs, which has also embittered the Philippines’ historically warm ties with the West. Yet, the tough-talking Duterte has progressively solicited the assistance of Western partners, particularly that of Washington and Canberra, against the burgeoning threat of the so-called Islamic State (IS) in his home island of Mindanao.

For the past three months IS-affiliated groups have managed to lay siege on Marawi, the Philippines’ largest Muslim-majority city, providing a blueprint for Jihadist-extremist groups around the region. The prospect of an IS Wilayat (governorate) — otherwise known as a ‘distant caliphate’ — in Southeast Asia has gained greater pungency than ever before.

Terror & Anarchy Threaten Philippine Democracy

Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte described the latest spike in drug-related killings as “beautiful”

As a result, both the United States and Australia face the classic dilemma of cooperating with unsavoury allies in order to stem a greater threat. Under Duterte’s watch the Philippines is confronting the twin threat of terror and anarchy, with a potentially disastrous impact on its fragile, fledgling democracy.

Throughout the first half of 2017 Duterte was forced to recalibrate his bloody crackdown on suspected drug dealers. This was largely due to the suspected murders of provincial mayor Rolando Espinosa and South Korean businessman Jee Ick-joo by members of the Philippine National Police (PNP).

Their deaths provoked widespread condemnation from the business community as well as some of Duterte’s key allies in the senate, who launched a series of high-profile investigations that exposed the innermost flaws of Philippine law enforcement agencies.

No less than South Korean President Moon Jae-in, then as opposition leader, weighed in, expressing outrage at how ‘the murder was committed within the police headquarters’ and accusing Duterte of committing ‘diplomatic disrespect’ for not sacking responsible officials.

In response, Duterte made a rare statement of apology, stating how he was ‘very sorry that it had to happen’ and reassuring Seoul that ‘those responsible are known to us already and they will go to prison and I will see to it that they will be sentenced to the maximum’.

He temporarily suspended police operations and even suggested using the (presumably more reliable) military for anti-drug operations instead. Over the succeeding months the Filipino leader focused on international diplomacy, infrastructure development, and counter-terrorism in Mindanao.

Renewed Philippine Police Killing Spree “Beautiful”

But in recent weeks there has been another sudden spike in drug-related killings at the hands of law enforcement agencies.

In early August anti-drug raids claimed the lives of 91 suspected drug users in Manila and the neighbouring region of Bulacan alone. Just days earlier, another raid led to the gruesome death of 14 individuals in Ozamiz, including the mayor Reynaldo ‘Aldong’ Parojinog and his wife Susan Parojinog. The President was visibly pleased, describing the spate of killings as ‘beautiful’.

But the suspected murder of teenager Kian Loyd delos Santos by police officers, which was caught on a nearby CCTV camera, provoked nationwide outrage. In response, a subdued Duterte expressed profound regret and (once again) promised to hold erring law enforcers accountable. He also met the family of the slain teenager to mollify public outrage.

Human rights barely discussed with Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop according to President Duterte

Despite this, it is unlikely that Duterte will shift gears in his war on drugs, which enjoys the support of most of the population. He will likely focus more on high-value targets and make cosmetic reforms to avoid heart-wrenching casualties — especially among minors. Meanwhile, he can count on continued external support amid the ongoing campaign against IS elements in Mindanao.

In fact, diplomatic ties seem to be warming up. A confident Duterte has claimed that in recent months he has rarely discussed human rights concerns with Western leaders, including Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop. According to the Filipino President, the White House even supports his anti-drug campaign.

In early August Duterte held an unusually affable meeting with US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who barely touched on human rights issues and instead focused on expanding counter-terrorism cooperation. Weeks later, the Philippine government publicised a ‘highly unusual’ and controversial photo showing the Filipino President and the highly reclusive Australian spy chief Nick Warner posing with a signature ‘Duterte fist’.

Both Washington, as a treaty ally, and Canberra, which has a Status of Forces Agreement with Manila, have pledged or already deployed troops, intelligence, weapons, and surveillance equipment to Duterte’s counter-terror efforts. The Pentagon is even considering direct military involvement in the anti-IS operations in Mindanao.

Once again, Western capitals have found themselves in a tough bind, shedding deepening concerns over human rights issues in exchange for counter-terror cooperation with neo-authoritarian leaders. The ultimate victim is no less than Philippine democracy, where erratic and centralised leadership is undermining the rule of law.

 

This article was written by Richard Javad Heydarian, a Manila-based academic and author of The Rise of Duterte: A Populist Revolt Against Elite Democracy. It first appeared on East Asia Forum under a Creative Commons license and is reproduced here with its permission.

 

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East Asia Forum
East Asia Forum is a platform for analysis and research on politics, economics, business, law, security, international relations and society relevant to public policy, centred on the Asia Pacific region. It aims to provide clear and original analysis from the leading minds in the region and beyond.   Based out of the Crawford School of Public Policy at the Australian National University, the Forum is a joint initiative of two academic research networks: the East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (EABER) and the South Asian Bureau of Economic Research (SABER).

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